The Red Storm

cropped-redstormlogo33.png


 

FIRST STEPS

[1] Read the ‘About’ Page: https://redstorm2018.wordpress.com/about/

[2] REGISTER TO VOTE ASAP (IF YOU HAVEN’T ALREADY)
https://www.eac.gov/voters/register-and-vote-in-your-state/

[3] Find out who your local congressman in the House of Representatives is (if you don’t already know)
https://www.house.gov/representatives/find-your-representative

[4] Find out the date for the primary elections in your state. Be sure to do research on which candidates represent your views the most, and who seems the most winnable. While RINOs are preferable to Democrats, it is best we don’t have any potential traitors in our ranks. At the same time, a RINO (or simply a more moderate candidate) who can win is better than a true believer who will probably lose.

https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G18/events.phtml?format=chronological&type=e

[5] Mark the date “November 6, 2018” on your calendar. On that Tuesday, I recommend planning some kind of party where you take all your right-wing friends and family out to vote, alongside food/drinks/festivities.


OTHER BASIC STEPS

[ ] sign up for the Democrats’ mailing list on http://obstructionistlosers.com/ to keep an eye out for what they want to do in your area (this should take less than 2 minutes)

[ ] sign up for the Republicans’ mailing list on https://gop.com/ to keep an eye out for what they want to do in your area (this should take less than 2 minutes)

[ ] think of all the family and friends you know who are willing to vote for the GOP or against the Democrats, and make a list of all of them. Get them to register to vote if they haven’t yet. Constantly remind them of November 6 and the importance of that day. Arguably, the real power in the USA is in Congress, not the Presidency, so this is possibly even more important than the 2016 elections. (making this list should take less than 10 minutes)

[ ] think of all the online right-wing friends/contacts you know of, and inform them of the importance of the midterms. Direct them to this site ( https://redstorm2018.wordpress.com/ ) and get them to get their online right-wing friends/contacts to see it as well.  (this should take less than 20 minutes)

 


 

pssst: https://discord.gg/cUbjC3N

special ritual required to get in though

 

 

 

 

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Taking Down John Bel Edwards (draft)

Lean D.
Even a few members of this server have said they support him. He originally campaigned as a socially conservative Democrat; I only found out that he existed because he ran ads about how he’s against Syrian refugees.
Since he became Governor, he’s expanded welfare, successfully limited tax hikes to only people who are already voting Republican, reversed most of his tax hikes that were unpopular, and otherwise almost all of his reforms have been criminal justice reforms have been broadly popular, including Amendment 2 which passed with over 60% of the vote IIRC.
Plus he technically did deliver on his promises regarding Syrian refugees
In fact, I don’t think I’d really have much against him personally if he didn’t raise my business utility costs to pay for welfare.
Which is utter bullocks
And of course, when I say “expand welfare,” I basically mean Obamacare (Expansion of Medicaid)
Expansion of Medicaid isn’t too awful if you live in Maine or something, or even in New York City.
But in Louisiana, expansion of Medicaid is an awful idea. The original PPACA actually had a provision saying that Louisiana needed special federal aid to support it, but it was repealed by the Democrats via budget reconciliation once they got Mary Landrieu to vote for the monstrosity.
The reason was ostensibly that the cost was too high; they gave us like three trillion in aid or some shit because the law was drafted in such an extremely sloppy manner.
He also decimated Louisiana’s film industry, which exceeded that of California when he was inaugurated, and he took three years (conveniently right before his reelection) to reimplement the film production tax credit, which helped a lot of people get jobs

Taking forever to explain this
uh
To explain why Medicaid is so ridiculous here
Basically our income is lower on average but our costs are lower too, and you can expect a Cadillac plan at Medicaid expansion tier incomes.
Like, from your employer
Katrina also wrecked the medical system because a ton of records were lost here. Forget losing your family records; if you’re actually at an age where you might need healthcare–like in the 50-65 age range–the hospital probably lost it in the storm. This is very common in Louisiana; I have relatives who died because hospitals lost records saying they were allergic to latex and then performed surgeries with latex gloves. It’s almost unbelievable.
Also, we have our own legal system based on Napoleonic Code for civil law. This affects healthcare law, and John Bel Edwards’ attempts to reduce legal costs in Louisiana have been awful.
Also there’s a lot of other state programs, like TOPS, that Jindal couldn’t cut; such efforts were unpopular, but understandable.
It’s very hard to bring white people who want to send their children to college to vote Republican while saying “We’re also cutting college scholarships.” — many liberal Republican families and politicians supported Edwards because of this.
I’m a little out of touch admittedly as I did not actually think of Vitter losing in 2015; I didn’t know who Edwards was other than a nuisance and an annoying Democrat who kept running ads on Syrian refugees.
It was a sort of unbelievable 20-point swing; we went from a plurality of people even in New Orleans supporting Bobby Jindal (65.8% statewide) to every parish surrounding mine voting Democrat, New Orleans voting over 80% JBE.
Also even though I don’t like him, he hasn’t actually fucked up on as gigantic a scale as is required for a Democrat to actually not get reelected in Louisiana.
The standard is a bit different for Republicans, because Republicans can actually dissatisfy the base enough to get them to stop caring about electability entirely. The last two times Democrats got one-termed, one was facing a massive corruption scandal and the public mood was at “Throw this guy in prison.” and the other had a mental breakdown on national television because of Hurricane Katrina.

Actually tl;dr analysis:
1. If we flipped like 40 seats in the House in the midterm and the Democrats lost in a midterm bloodbath more brutal for the opposition party than 2002, we wouldn’t have a very good chance of beating Edwards under normal circumstances. We must therefore create “abnormal” circumstances, which are possible.
2. Donald Trump is massively popular in Louisiana; people will vote for Trump even if Trump says he’ll go against their own personal interests in many cases. People support Trump enough to unseat an incumbent Governor. This was not true in 2015, when Trump was still controversial and supported only by a slim plurality–if that–among the state’s populace. Also, no major candidates intervened in 2015.
3. We have no serious candidates for Governor. JBE’s opposition is mainly hardline social conservative, but his actual policies suggest that hardline fiscal conservatism is the only viable line of attack. He issued some illegal executive orders regarding LGBT issues, but they were struck down. On social issues, he might be blocking some new abortion regulation we want to implement merely by the specter of a potential veto, but he hasn’t done anything publicly regarded as substantial.

Taking Back the House 2020 (placeholder article)

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=306214.0

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=306581.0

AZ-1, AZ-2, CA-25, CA-48, CA-49, CT-5, FL-26, FL-27, GA-6, IL-14, IA-1, IA-3, KS-3, MI-8, MI-11, MN-2, MN-7, NV-3, NV-4, NH-1, NH-2, NJ-3. NJ-7, NJ-11, NY-11, NY-19, NY-22, OK-5, PA-7, PA-8, SC-1, TX-7, TX-32, UT-4, VA-2, VA-7, WA-8

—–

in order of difficulty (2018 House Democrat Victory Margin included)

*note: I didn’t order it this way. Some Atlas Democrat did. I attached the percentages later and saw that it didn’t quite align with the winning margins, so it’s possible that he didn’t order it in a reasonable way.

NY-22 (1.4%)
NM-02 (1.8%)
SC-01 (1.4%)
ME-02 (1.0%)
NJ-03 (1.1%)
NY-19 (2.9%)
OK-05 (1.4%)
NJ-02 (6.4%)
IA-02 (10.2%)
NY-11 (6.0%)
AZ-01 (7.6%)
IA-03 (1.5%)
NY-18 (10.2%)
IA-01 (4.9%)
MI-08 (3.8%)
VA-07 (2.0%)
MI-11 (6.7%)
VA-02 (2.2%)
CA-10 (3.2%)
NH-01 (8.5%)
NJ-05 (11.7%)
IL-14 (3.8%)
WA-08 (4.9%)
NV-03 (9.1%)
NH-02 (13.4%)
CA-07 (10%)
WI-03 (19.4%)
OR-04 (15%)
PA-07 (9.9%)
MN-02 (5.6%)
NV-04 (8.3%)
GA-06 (1.0%)
FL-13 (15.2%)
OR-05 (13.1%)
CA-48 (6.8%)
UT-04 (0.2%)
PA-17 (12.4%)
NJ-07 (4.5%)
CA-45 (3.6%)
AZ-02 (8.8%)
CA-25 (6.4%)
CT-05 (11.8%)

———————

ones that are under 5%

NY-22 (1.4%)
NM-02 (1.8%)
SC-01 (1.4%)
ME-02 (1.0%)
NJ-03 (1.1%)
NY-19 (2.9%)
OK-05 (1.4%)
IA-03 (1.5%)
IA-01 (4.9%)
MI-08 (3.8%)
VA-07 (2.0%)
VA-02 (2.2%)
CA-10 (3.2%)
IL-14 (3.8%)
WA-08 (4.9%)
GA-06 (1.0%)
UT-04 (0.2%)
NJ-07 (4.5%)
CA-45 (3.6%)
CA-21 (0.4%)

flipping back all of these gets us to 219

The Battle is Over

It was a long year and a long night. Congratulations to everyone who participated yesterday, and to those who’ve been here for most of the year – I can’t thank you enough.

Yesterday had mixed results. You may be disappointed about them, but remember – so are many on the other side. A slight Democratic House majority is something Trump can deal with. An expanded Senate majority is more than a boon for us.

We really kicked their asses in Florida. We have likely ended Bill Nelson’s 18 year Senate tenure and put away their rising star, Andrew Gillum. If the latter won tonight, he would have had a great shot at becoming President in the future. Imagine that!

The candidate we supported in the Indiana Senate primary, Mike Braun, went on to win by a margin similar to Todd Young’s blowout defeat of Bayh. The polls said it was neck and neck, and that Donnelly would probably win by a slight margin!

The snakey anti-male bitch Claire McCaskill was utterly destroyed by our champion in Missouri, Josh Hawley. The other side claimed that McCaskill was such a good politician (i.e. exceptional at dirty tricks and blessed with dumb luck with her 2012 opponent) that she’d put Josh down. Many polls claimed it to be neck-and-neck, but that didn’t turn out to be the case.

They thought a moderate popular governor who won every single county in Tennessee would deliver the Senate to them, and that Marsha Blackburn was too odious to win as a conservative Republican in a conservative Republican state. They were wrong.

They thought a good looking, charismatic, $100,000,000, openly liberal candidate who traveled through every single county in the state of Texas could defeat our beautiful Ted. He came close, I’ll give him that, but think about it this way – that proves candidate quality really does matter. Imagine what we could do to Gary Peters’ Michigan Senate seat in 2020? Imagine what we could to do Jeanne Shaheen’s Senate seat in 2020?
And imagine what we could do if we ran quality candidates with lots of $ to take back House districts that went for them by slight margins. OK-05, NY-11, CA-48, TX-07, TX-32, MN-07, VA-02, UT-04, NY-22, GA-06, VA-07, and IA-03 are all that’s needed to win back the House, and they’re not the only potential pickups!

Jim Renacci ran an almost nonexistent campaign, and he wasn’t too far off from beating the supposedly well liked Sherrod Brown. Patrick Morrissey is a disgusting fatass, and he was very close to unseating the Democrats’ strongest red state Senator. John James was supposed to lose by double digits to Debbie Stabenow, but came within single digits. Leah Vukmir and Karin Housley also didn’t need much more in order to attain victory. What does all that tell you?

The left is going to have to deal with a Nancy Pelosi led leadership dragging their reputation down further with bad #reesistance optics and farce investigations that won’t do anything other than backfire on them

Meanwhile, we can keep ramming so many more judges through, let Clarence Thomas retire knowing his seat is safe, and effortlessly nominate the replacement for Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

Our mission didn’t end tonight, it won’t end in 2020, and it won’t ever end for the rest of our lives. This is all part of an eternal struggle, and you gave it your all against tens of millions of pissed off, dedicated, deranged, well funded, mainstream media supported, academia enable, lefties.

They had their expectations set a bit high, and we helped them provide the necessary disappointment to keep them in check. That, in and of itself, is a victory.

Have some rest, reflect on all that transpired this past year, and focus on the future!

Red Storm 2018

NOVEMBER 6 IS UPON US

IT’S HERE. IT’S FINALLY HERE. I’VE BEEN HARD AT WORK IN PREPARATION FOR THIS DAY SINCE LATE JANUARY, AND SO HAVE MANY OF YOU.

161109045042-election2016-wellesley-4-exlarge-169

FIRST THING’S FIRST. SEE THESE FACES? THIS PICTURE IS FROM THE JAVITS CENTER TWO YEARS AGO, WHEN THE WORLD WAS SUPPOSED TO SEE THE EVENTUAL FIRST FEMALE PRESIDENT WALK ON STAGE.

NO MATTER WHAT HAPPENS, WE WON’T GIVE THEM THE SATISFACTION OF SEEING US LIKE THIS. WE WILL RESPOND TO ANY BAD NEWS WITH STEADFAST DIGNITY. WE WILL USE ANY LOSS AS FUEL FOR FUTURE SUCCESS!

BECAUSE THIS STRUGGLE DOESN’T JUST END TODAY, OR IN NOVEMBER 2020, OR IN ANY DAY BEFORE. WE ARE IN THIS FOR THE REST OF OUR LIVES. THIS IS ALL SIMPLY A FRACTION OF A STRUGGLE THAT HAS BEEN TAKING PLACE LONG BEFORE WE WERE BORN AND WILL BE AROUND LONG AFTER WE ARE GONE.

BUT MAKE NO MISTAKE…OUR TRIUMPHS WILL LAST FOR THE AGES, AND SHOULD WE WIN TODAY, BRACE YOURSELVES TO EXPERIENCE NOVEMBER 6, 2018 LIKE YOU EXPERIENCED NOVEMBER 8, 2016

RED STORM 2018

Ballot Measure Endorsements

We opposed every tax hike and spending increase, opposed degeneracy, and opposed a lot of ridiculous ideas, like forcing every county in the State of Florida to have a democratically-elected Sheriff…while simultaneously granting convicted felons the right to vote. Yeah, that’s a really bad idea. We also supported a variety of good legislation, such as Marsy’s Law, which is on the ballot in many states.

If a tax cut was proposed, it pretty much always got the greenlight from us, as you’d expect. We additionally opposed almost every extreme environmentalist proposal on the ballot, such as forcing all electric utility companies in some states to adopt a 50% “renewable” energy plan using genius ideas like chopping down national forests and burning them for power, or trying to extract energy from human excrement.

More things we endorse include allowing private companies to create sex-segregated bathrooms (like they did when you grew up), ending public financing of abortion, and various bipartisan proposals that have been endorsed by Republican gubernatorial candidates. A constitutional amendment in Louisiana to remove legal restrictions on transporting parish government resources during floods and hurricanes was also endorsed, as you’d expect. To top off the miscellaneous proposals, we supported a move to turn the elected Superintendent of Schools in South Carolina into a position appointed by the Governor.

Florida, ballot measure endorsements:
1. YES
2. YES
3. YES
4. NO
5. YES
6. YES
7. YES
8. YES (not on ballot)
9. YES
10. NO
11. NO
12. YES
13. NO

Nevada, ballot measure endorsements:
1. YES
2. YES
3. YES (owing to Laxalt’s endorsement of the amendment)
4. YES
5. NO
6. NO

Louisiana, ballot measure endorsements:
1. YES
2. NO
3. YES
4. NO
5. YES
6. NO
Fantasy Sports: YES

Virginia, ballot measure endorsements:
1. YES
2. YES

Arkansas, ballot measure endorsements:
1. YES (not on ballot)
2. YES
3. YES (not on ballot)
4. NO
5. NO

Alaska, ballot measure endorsement:
1. NO

Arizona, ballot measure endorsements:
Prop. 125. YES
Prop. 126. YES
Prop. 127. NO
Prop. 305. YES
Prop. 306. NO

Alabama, ballot measure endorsements:
1. YES
2. YES
3. YES
4. YES

California, ballot measure endorsements:
1. NO
2. NO
3. NO
4. NO
5. YES
6. YES
7. YES
8. NO
10. YES
11. YES
12. NO

Colorado, ballot measure endorsements:
A. NO
V. NO
W. YES
X. YES
Y. NO
Z. NO
73. NO
74. YES
75. NO
109. NO
110. NO
111. NO
112. NO

Connecticut, ballot measure endorsements:
1. YES
2. YES

Georgia, ballot measure endorsements:
1. NO
2. YES
3. YES
4. YES
5. NO
A. YES
B. YES

Hawaii, ballot measure endorsements:
ConCon: Do what you please.
Tax hikes: NO

Idaho, ballot measure endorsements:
1. YES
2. NO

Indiana, ballot measure endorsement:
1. YES

Kentucky, ballot measure endorsement:
1. YES

Maine, ballot measure endorsements:
1. NO
2. NO
3. NO
4. NO
5. NO

Maryland, ballot measure endorsements:
1. NO
2. NO

Massachusetts, ballot measure endorsements:
1. NO
2. NO
3. NO

Michigan, ballot measure endorsements:
1. NO
2. NO
3. NO

Missouri, ballot measure endorsements:
1. NO
2. NO
3. NO (but if you want legal weed, this one has a sin tax)
4. YES
B. NO
C. NO
D. NO
Nebraska, ballot measure endorsement:
Initiative 427. NO

New Hampshire, ballot measure endorsements:
1. YES
2. YES

New Jersey, ballot measure endorsement:
1. NO

New Mexico, ballot measure endorsements:
1. NO
2. NO
Bonds A-D: NO

North Carolina, ballot measure endorsements:
Right to hunt and fish: YES
Marsy’s Law: YES
Income Tax Reduction: YES
Voter ID: YES
Election Board Appointed by Legislature: YES
Judicial Selection Process for Vacancies: YES

North Dakota, ballot measure endorsements:
1. YES
2. YES
3. NO
4. YES

Ohio, ballot measure endorsement:
1. NO

Oklahoma, ballot measure endorsements:
793. YES
794. YES
798. YES
800. NO
801. NO

Oregon, ballot measure endorsements:
102. YES
103. YES
104. YES
105. YES
106. YES

Rhode Island, ballot measure endorsements:
1. NO
2. NO
3. NO

South Carolina,, ballot measure endorsement:
1. YES

South Dakota, ballot measure endorsements:
24. YES
25. YES
W. YES
X. YES
Z. YES

Utah, ballot measure endorsements:
A. YES
B. YES
C. YES
1. NO
2. NO
3. NO
4. NO

Washington state, ballot measure endorsements:
940. NO
1631. NO
1634. NO
1639. NO
19. NO

West Virginia, ballot measure endorsements:
1. NO
2. YES

NYTimes Upshot / Siena College Poll Analysis: MN-08

73 Undecided, 13% of those polled

19 Undecideds prefer the Republicans keep the House
29 Undecideds prefer the Democrats take the House
25 Undecideds have no stated preference (8 of these approve of Trump, 5 of these disapprove of Trump, 12 of these have no stated preference on Trump)


If you were to add all 19 undecideds who prefer the GOP keeping the House and 8 who approve of Trump to Stauber’s percentage, you’d get 49% + (27/73 * 13%) = 53.81%

If you were to add all 29 undecideds who prefer the Democrats taking the House to Radinovich’s percentage, you get 34% + (29/73 * 13%) = 39.16%. If you add the 12 undecideds who have no stated preference on Trump, that becomes 34% + (41/73 * 13%) = 41.30%.

Minimum number of Toss-Ups to win to keep the House

As of October 13…

https://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/

Off the 29 tossups, we need to win at least 20. They can be any 20 of these. I bolded the ones who are ideologically sound or the ones we are likely to win according to polling. I italicized the ones who are ideologically unsound or are likely to lose…

This assumes that we keep all the Safe R, Likely R, and Lean R races. It also assumed the Democrats keep all the Safe D, Likely D, and Lean D races.

1. CA-10: Jeff Denham
2. CA-25: Steve Knight
3. CA-39: Edward Royce
4. CA-45: Mimi Walters (ideologically sound)
5. CA-48: Dana Rohrabacher (ideologically sound)
6. IA-03: David Young
7. IL-06: Peter Roskam
8. IL-12: Mike Bost
9. KS-02: Lynn Jenkins
10. KY-06: Andy Barr
11. ME-02: Bruce Poliquin (likely to win)
12. MI-08: Mike Bishop
13. MN-01: Jim Hagedorn
14. MN-08: Pete Stauber (likely pickup)
15. NC-08: Mark Harris
16. NC-13: Ted Budd (likely to win)
17. NJ-03: Tom MacArthur (seems doomed)
18. NJ-07: Leonard Lance
19. NM-02: Yvette Herrell
20. NY-19: John Faso
21. NY-22: Claudia Tenney
22. OH-01: Steve Chabot (likely to win)
23. PA-01: Brian Fitzpatrick (seems doomed)
24. TX-07: John Culberson (likely to win)
25. TX-23: Will Hurd (likely to win, albeit not ideologically sound)
26. TX-32: Pete Sessions (ideologically sound)
27. VA-02: Scott Taylor (likely to win)
28. VA-07: Dave Brat
29. WA-08: Dino Rossi