2016/2018 Margins by County (includes swings) – Michigan (for reference, in MI Election Nights)

2016 Presidential

Statewide: R+0.2

(pro-R margin; e.g. 10 is R+10; -10 is D+10; Missaukee: R+52.22, Wayne:D+37.34)

Missaukee 52.22
Hillsdale 46.62
Sanilac 44.53
Montmorency 44.14
Oscoda 44.17
Kalkaska 43.43
Osceola 43.65
Luce 41.68
Alcona 39.84
Huron 38.4
Newaygo 39.58
Branch 38.08
Lapeer 38.3
Tuscola 37.5
Otsego 37.57
Ogemaw 36.56
Wexford 36.37
Dickinson 35.37
Gladwin 34.72
Arenac 33.34
Crawford 32.79
Montcalm 33.95
Clare 31.78
Cheboygan 32.04
Barry 33.26
Cass 30.86
St. Clair 31.4
St. Joseph 30.97
Iosco 29.94
Roscommon 29.56
Antrim 29.6
Menominee 29.37
Iron 28.27
Presque Isle 28.93
Livingston 29.56
Ottawa 30.47
Ionia 30.85
Alpena 28.67
Baraga 28.71
Schoolcraft 28.57
Mackinac 27.21
Allegan 28.92
Oceana 27.29
Ontonagon 25.97
Delta 25.34
Mecosta 26.08
Gratiot 25.6
Charlevoix 24.25
Lake 22.9
Chippewa 24.22
Monroe 22.1
Mason 21.96
Lenawee 21.07
Alger 20.41
Jackson 20.09
Keweenaw 20.01
Emmet 19.38
Shiawassee 19.59
Midland 19.32
Manistee 15.37
Gogebic 14.91
Houghton 15.72
Benzie 14
Van Buren 13.93
Berrien 12.7
Macomb 11.53
Bay 12.62
Calhoun 12.46
Clinton 12.65
Grand Traverse 12.5
Eaton 4.75
Leelanau 3.15
Isabella 3.68
Saginaw 1.14
Kent 3.08
Total 0.23
Muskegon -1.51
Marquette -4.24
Oakland -8.11
Genesee -9.46
Kalamazoo -12.76
Ingham -26.88
Wayne -37.34
Washtenaw -41.28

 

 


 

2018 Senate

Statewide: D+6.5 (swing of D+6.7)

pro-R margin (e.g. 10–>R+10; -10–>D+10)


Missaukee 43.7
Hillsdale 37.1
Sanilac 31.8
Montmorency 31.3
Oscoda 32
Kalkaska 31.2
Osceola 34.7
Luce 29.6
Alcona 29.2
Huron 23.6
Newaygo 29.6
Branch 29.8
Lapeer 24.9
Tuscola 23.8
Otsego 27.6
Ogemaw 25.4
Wexford 27.9
Dickinson 24.8
Gladwin 22.2
Arenac 21
Crawford 23.1
Montcalm 21.9
Clare 21.4
Cheboygan 20.5
Barry 23.9
Cass 24.3
St. Clair 16
St. Joseph 25.5
Iosco 16.6
Roscommon 18.8
Antrim 20.8
Menominee 15.1
Iron 13.7
Presque Isle 15.4
Livingston 21.2
Ottawa 27.1
Ionia 19.3
Alpena 15
Baraga 14.8
Schoolcraft 14.8
Mackinac 17
Allegan 22
Oceana 19
Ontonagon 14
Delta 13.8
Mecosta 16.3
Gratiot 16.9
Charlevoix 16
Lake 14.8
Chippewa 13.4
Monroe 11.3
Mason 14.1
Lenawee 12.2
Alger 6
Jackson 12.6
Keweenaw 8
Emmet 12.6
Shiawassee 9.5
Midland 15
Manistee 8
Gogebic -3.5
Houghton 6.8
Benzie 6.1
Van Buren 7.4
Berrien 9.5
Macomb -1.9
Bay 0.5
Calhoun 6.5
Clinton 3.7
Grand Traverse 4.4
Eaton -4.6
Leelanau -3.1
Isabella -3.4
Saginaw -4.5
Kent -0.4
Total 0
Muskegon -7.5
Marquette -15.4
Oakland -13.7
Genesee -16.2
Kalamazoo -17
Ingham -32.9
Wayne -40.1
Washtenaw -43.8

 

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2016/2018 Margins by County (includes swings) – Pennsylvania (for reference, in PA Election Nights)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential

Statewide: R+0.72

Philadelphia: D+67.16

Allegheny: D+16.64

Montgomery: D+21.47

Bucks: D+0.78

Delaware: D+22.42

Chester: D+9.51

Lancaster: R+19.42

York: R+29.13

Berks: R+9.93

Westmoreland: R+21.13

Lehigh: D+4.74

Northampton: R+3.8

Luzerne: R+19.43

Dauphin: D+2.93

Erie: R+1.58

Cumberland: R+18.08

Lackawanna: D+3.48

Washington: R+24.71

Butler: R+26.92

Beaver: R+18.71

Centre: D+2.39

Monroe: D+0.77

Franklin: R+46.32

Cambria: R+37.09

Schuylkill: R+43.32

Lebanon: R+34.88

Blair: R+45.85

Fayette: R+30.95

Mercer: R+24.49

Lycoming: R+44.71

Adams: R+36.23

Lawrence: R+28.02

Indiana: R+35.47

Crawford: R+37.39

Northumberland: R+42.70

Somerset: R+55.92

Clearfield: R+48.82

Armstrong: R+51.57

Carbon: R+34.08

Columbia: R+32.13

Pike: R+26.05

Bradford: R+45.80

Wayne: R+38.45

Bedford: R+67.30

Venango: R+31.60

Perry: R+51.92

Huntingdon: R+50.52

Jefferson: R+59.26

Susquehanna: R+41.18

Mifflin: R+54.93

Warren: R+39.77

Tioga: R+53.00

Clarion: R+47.35

Union: R+25.43

Snyder:  R+47.20

McKean: R+46.70

Greene: R+40.39

Clinton: R+34.28

Elk: R+42.78

Wyoming: R+38.24

Juniata: R+61.72

Montour: R+28.41

Potter: R+63.58

Fulton: R+70.62

Sullivan: R+49.13

Forest: R+44.03

Cameron: R+48.40


 

2018 Pennsylvania Senate

Statewide: D+13.12

Philadelphia: D+74.8

Allegheny: D+33.1

Montgomery: D+31.9

Bucks: D+14

Delaware: D+31.4

Chester: D+20.2

Lancaster: R+8.4

York: R+15.8

Berks: D+3.8

Westmoreland: R+10.5

Lehigh: D+16.4

Northampton: D+10.3

Luzerne: R+8.2

Dauphin: D+11.4

Erie: D+18.40

Cumberland: R+18.08

Lackawanna: D+23.2

Washington: R+3.4

Butler: R+20

Beaver: D+3.7

Centre: D+17.2

Monroe: D+12

Franklin: R+35.2

Cambria: R+11.7

Schuylkill: R+26.1

Lebanon: R+23.3

Blair: R+30.7

Fayette: R+2.3

Mercer: R+10.1

Lycoming: R+30.7

Adams: R+21.8

Lawrence: R+9.4

Indiana: R+12.2

Crawford: R+20.3

Northumberland: R+25.7

Somerset: R+33.4

Clearfield: R+27.3

Armstrong: R+28.1

Carbon: R+21.2

Columbia: R+20.4

Pike: R+14.8

Bradford: R+30.0

Wayne: R+23.1

Bedford: R+50.3

Venango: R+23.1

Perry: R+37.4

Huntingdon: R+33.7

Jefferson: R+41.3

Susquehanna: R+28.8

Mifflin: R+40.9

Warren: R+23.3

Tioga: R+41.5

Clarion: R+24.9

Union: R+16.7

Snyder:  R+33.6

McKean: R+34.6

Greene: R+4.9

Clinton: R+12.8

Elk: R+18.7

Wyoming: R+25.5

Juniata: R+40.6

Montour: R+13.9

Potter: R+38.8

Fulton: R+58.7

Sullivan: R+24.8

Forest: R+26.3

Cameron: R+24.2

Specific Times for State Wins and Results

(2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION)

7:00PM: Indiana (Trump+19), Kentucky (Trump+30) ,Vermont(Hillary+27)

7:30PM: West Virginia (Trump+42)

7:50PM: South Carolina(Trump+14)

8:00PM: Alabama (Trump+28), Connecticut(Hillary+14), Delaware(Hillary+11), DC(Hillary+87), Illinois(Hillary+17), Maryland(Hillary+26), Massachusetts(Hillary+27), Mississippi(Trump+18), New Jersey(Hillary+14), Oklahoma(Trump+36), Rhode Island(Hillary+15), Tennessee(Trump+26)

 

8:30PM: Arkansas(Trump+27)

9:00PM: Kansas(Trump+20), Louisiana(Trump+20), Nebraska(Trump+29), New York(Hillary+22), North Dakota(Trump+36), South Dakota(Trump+30), Texas(Trump+9), Wyoming(Trump+45)

10:00PM: Montana(Trump+19)

10:03PM: New Mexico(Hillary+8)

10:06PM: Missouri(Trump+18)

10:21PM: Ohio(Trump+8)

10:30PM: Virginia(Hillary+5)

10:35PM: Colorado(Hillary+5)

11:00PM: California(Hillary+30), Hawaii(Hillary+33), Idaho(Trump+32), Oregon(Hillary+11), Washington(Hillary+16)

11:07PM: North Carolina(Trump+4)

11:30PM: Florida(Trump+1), Utah(Trump+19), Iowa(Trump+9),

11:44PM: Georgia(Trump+5),

12:32AM: Nevada(Hillary+2)

2:00AM: Maine(Hillary+2)

2:12AM: Alaska(Trump+14)

3:04AM: Wisconsin(Trump+0.2), Pennsylvania(Trump+0.7)


2016 Presidential Specific Results At Specific Times

7:15PM: Vigo County Indiana(Trump:54.7%, Hillary:41.6%, Johnson: 3.7%)

7:25PM: Florida Statewide<1%Reporting(Trump:50.4%, Hillary:47.1%, Johnson:1.8%)

7:35PM: Florida Statewide4%Reporting(Trump:49.1%, Hillary:48%, Johnson:2%)

8:00PM: Ohio Statewide<1%Reporting(Hillary:54%, Trump:42.3%, Johnson:2.6%, Stein:0.7%)

8:30PM: Pennsylvania Statewide<1%Reporting(Hillary:80.9%, Trump: 17.9%, Stein:0.6%); Warren County 1of33 Precincts(Trump: 80.7%, Hillary: 17.2%, Johnson: 1.4%)

8:35PM: Virginia Statewide 54.16%Reporting(Trump: 50.50%, Hillary: 44.07%)

8:45PM: North Carolina Statewide 31%PrecinctsReporting(Trump: 49%, Hillary:47%)

8:50PM: Wake County North Carolina88%PrecinctsReporting(Hillary:58.5%, Trump: 37.8%, Johnson:3.6%);;;; Ohio Statewide 22%PrecinctsReporting(Hillary:49.4%, Trump: 46.8%, Johnson:2.6%)

 

8:55PM: Hillsborough County Florida 90%Reporting(Hillary: 51.5%, Trump: 44.77%, Johnson: 2.55%, Stein:0.81%)

9:00PM: Ohio Statewide 28%PrecinctsReporting(Trump:48.1%, Hillary:48.0%, Johnson:2.7%, Stein:0.7%)

North Carolina Statewide 28%PrecinctsReporting(Hillary: 48.8%, Trump:48.7%, Johnson:2.5%)

9:10PM: Michigan 7%PrecinctsReporting(Trump:47.5%, Hillary:47.4%, Johnson:3.7%, Stein:1.1%);;; Colorado18%PrecinctsReporting(Trump:46.4%, Hillary:45.9%, Johnson:4.6%,Stein:1.1%)

9:15PM: Ohio Statewide 40%PrecinctsReporting(Trump:49.5%, Hillary 46.5%, Johnson: 2.8%, Stein: 0.7%)

 

9:20PM: Wayne County Michigan 4.7%PrecinctsReporting(Hillary: 49.01%, Trump: 45.8%, Johnson:3.6%, Stein: 1.29%);;;; North Carolina Statewide 62.91%PrecinctsReporting(Trump:50.26%, Hillary:45.98%)

9:30PM: Virginia Statewide 87%PrecinctsReporting(Trump:48%, Hillary:46%, Johnson: 3%);;;;; Texas Statewide 19.4%PrecinctsReporting(Trump: 50.1%, Hillary: 46.4%)

9:40PM: North Carolina Statewide 78%PrecinctsReporting(Trump:50.48%, Hillary: 45.69%;; McRory(R): 49.43%, Cooper(D): 48.49%)

9:45PM: Virginia Statewide 89.25%PrecinctsReporting (Hillary: 47.20%, Trump: 47.05%)

9:50PM: New Hampshire Statewide 29%PrecinctsReporting(Trump: 47.79%, Hillary: 46.97%, Johnson: 4.32%, Stein: 0.83%);;;; Wisconsin Statewide 24%PrecinctsIn(Trump:50.2%, Hillary:44.7%)

9:55PM: Kansas Statewide 23%PrecinctsReporting(Trump:51.8%, Hillary:41.8%);

10:00PM: Nebraska Statewide 32%PrecinctsReporting(Trump:52.1%, Hillary: 42.8%);;;New Hampshire Statewide 40%PrecinctsReporting (Trump: 48.2%, Hillary:46.6%);;;;Pennsylvania Statewide 34%PrecinctsReporting(Hillary:54.6%, Trump: 42.2%)

10:10PM: Wisconsin Statewide 29%PrecinctsReporting(Trump:50.9, Hillary: 43.9%) ;;; New Hampshire Statewide 41%PrecinctsReporting (Ayotte (R): 48.7%, Hassan(D): 47.0%)

10:15PM: Hennepin County Minnesota41%PrecinctsReporting(Hillary:61.6%, Trump: 30.6%, Johnson:3.7%, McMullin:1.9%);;;; Colorado Statewide 62%PrecinctsReporting(Hillary:49.0%, Trump: 43.5%);;;;North Carolina Senate Statewide 83%PrecinctsReporting(Burr(R):51.0%, Ross(D): 45.6%);;;;Minnesota Statewide 16%PrecinctsReporting (Hillary: 51.7%, Trump: 40.4%)

10:20PM: Michigan Statewide 30%PrecinctsReporting(Trump:49.9%, Hillary:45.0%);;; Wisconsin Statewide 41%PrecinctsReporting(Trump:48.3%, Hillary:46.5%)

10:35PM: Ohio Statewide 66.1%PrecinctsReporting(Trump: 53.3%, Hillary: 42.3%, Johnson:3.1%)

10:50: Wisconsin Senate Statewide 55%PrecinctsReporting (Johnson(R): 52.3%, Feingold(D): 44.9%)

11:00PM: Wisconsin58%PrecinctsReporting(Trump: 49.0%, Hillary: 45.8%, Johnson:3.6%);;;;Maine Statewide 41%PrecinctsReporting( Hillary:48.6%, Trump:44.2%)

 

11:15PM: Maine Statewide 36%PrecinctsReporting (Trump: 46%, Hillary: 46%, Johnson: 5%, Stein: 2%)

11:20PM: Minnesota Statewide 40%PrecinctsReporting(Hillary: 50%, Trump: 41%)

11:35PM: Georgia 77%PrecinctsReporting (Trump:53.3%, Hillary:43.6%), FOX News calls Georgia for Trump

11:50PM: Pennsylvania79%PrecinctsReporting(Hillary:49%, Trump:48%,Johnson:2%);;;;;Minnesota Statewide 60%PrecinctsReporting(Hillary:49.6%, Trump: 41.8%, Johnson: 3.8%, McMullin: 1.8%)

12:35AM: Minnesota Statewide 72%PrecinctsReporting(Hillary: 48%, Trump: 43%)

12:55AM: Michigan Statewide 77%PrecinctsReporting(Hillary: 46.7%, Trump: 48.2%);;;;Minnesota Statewide 79%PrecinctsReporting (Hillary:47.9%, Trump: 44.3%) ;;; Pennsylvania Statewide 96%PrecinctsReporting (Hillary:47.8%, Trump:48.6%) ;;;;;; New Hampshire 82%PrecinctsReporting(47.5%Hillary, 47.4%Trump)

 

 


 

6:15PM: Miami County Indiana14/31PrecinctsReporting (Braun+17%)

7:15PM: Vermillion County Indiana 6/17PrecinctsReporting(Braun: 52.6%, Donnelly: 41.2%)

 

8:15PM: Florida Statewide Results 60%Reporting(DeSantis: 49.6%, Gillum:49.1%)

8:30PM: Florida Statewide Results 71.36%Reporting(DeSantis:49.6%, Gillum: 49.2%), Pasco County 98.18%Reporting (DeSantis: 57.3%, Gillum: 40.9%)

9:00PM: Michigan Senate 3%PrecinctsReporting(James:48.9%, Stabenow: 48.9%, Squier: 1.2%)

9:10PM: Texas Statewide Results 2%Reporting(Beto:50.0%, Cruz:49.3%);;; Gaines County1of5Precincts(Cruz:89.0%, Beto:10.7%)

9:15PM: Michigan Senate 6.9%PrecinctsReporting(Stabenow: 49.5%, James: 48.3%)

9:20PM: Michigan Gubernatorial 5%PrecinctsReporting(Whitmer: 50.4%, Schuette:46.5%)

9:25PM: Michigan Senate 11%PrecinctsReporting(James: 50.0%, Stabenow:47.8%, Squier: 1.1%)

10:00PM: Michigan Senate 20%PrecinctsReporting(James: 49.7%, Stabenow: 48.2%, Squier: 1.1%)

10:15PM: Michigan Senate 30.99%PrecinctsReporting( Stabenow:50.8%, James:47.1%, Squier: 1.1%)

10:35PM: Michigan Senate 33%PrecinctsReporting(Stabenow:50.9%, James: 46.9%)

10:50PM: Michigan Senate 44%PrecinctsReporting(Stabenow+7)

 

Placeholder Article for 2016/2018 Polling Data Review in Anticipation for 2020

(Change Research)

2018 Mississippi Senate Runoff November 25: Espy 46%, Hyde-Smith 51% (real result: Espy 46.4%, Hyde-Smith 53.6%)

2018 Minnesota Senate Special Election November 5: Smith 51%, Housley 42% (real result: Smith 53%, Housley 42.4%)

2018 Minnesota Senate Election November 5: Klobuchar 55%, Newberger 40% (real result: Klobuchar 60.3%, Housley 36.2%)

2018 Minnesota Gubernatorial Election November 5: Walz 53%, Johnson 41% (real result: Walz 53.8%, Johnson 42.4%)

2018 Michigan Senate November 5: Stabenow 49%, James 47% (real result: Stabenow 52.2%, James 45.8%)

2018 Michigan Gubernatorial November 5: Whitmer 51%, Schuette 43% (real result: Whitmer 53.3%, Schuette 43.8%)

2018 Iowa Gubernatorial November 5: Hubbell 49%, Reynolds 46% (real result: Hubbell 47.5%, Reynolds 50.3%)

2018 Mississippi Senate Special November 5: Espy 40%, Hyde-Smith 27% McDaniel 28% (real result: Espy 40.6%, Hyde-Smith 41.5% McDaniel 16.5%)

2018 Mississippi Senate November 5: Baria 40%, Wicker 48% (real result: Baria 39.5%, Wicker 58.5%)

2018 Ohio Gubernatorial November 2-4: DeWine 43%, Cordray 48% (real result: DeWine 50%, Cordray 47%)

2018 Pennsylvania Gubernatorial November 2-4: Wolf 53%, Wagner 42% (real result: Wolf: 58%, Wagner 41%)

 

 

(Mitchell Research)

2016 Michigan Presidential November 3: Hillary 50%, Trump 45% (real result: Hillary 47.0%, Trump 47.3%)

2016 Michigan Presidential October 30: Hillary 51%, Trump 42% (real result: Hillary 47.0%, Trump 47.3%)

2016 Michigan Presidential October 18: Hillary 53%, Trump 41% (real result: Hillary 47.0%, Trump 47.3%)

2016 Michigan Presidential September 6-7: Hillary 47%, Trump 42% (real result: Hillary 47.0%, Trump 47.3%)

2018 Michigan Senate September 12-13: Stabenow 54%, James 41% (real result: Stabenow 52.2%, James 45.8%)

2018 Michigan Senate September 30-October 7: Stabenow 51%, James 42% (real result: Stabenow 52.2%, James 45.8%)

2018 Michigan Senate October 25: Stabenow 52%, James 46% (real result: Stabenow 52.2%, James 45.8%)

2018 Michigan Senate November 5: Stabenow 49%, James 46% (real result: Stabenow 52.2%, James 45.8%)

 

(Gravis)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential September 23: Hillary 46%, Trump 43% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential October 31: Hillary 51%, Trump 49% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential November 1-2: Hillary 47%, Trump 45% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2018 Michigan Senate October 29-30: Stabenow 54%, James 41% (real result: Stabenow 52.2%, James 45.8%)

2018 Michigan Senate August 14-16: Stabenow 51%, James 35% (real result: Stabenow 52.2%, James 45.8%)

(PPP)

2016 Ohio Presidential July 22-24: Hillary 39%, Trump 42% (real result: Hillary 43.2%, Trump 51.3%)

2016 Ohio Presidential October 5 –  October 6: Hillary 44%, Trump 43% (real result: Hillary 43.2%, Trump 51.3%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential July 29-31: Hillary 49%, Trump 45% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential June 22-23: Hillary 46%, Trump 42% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

(Trafalgar Group)

2016 Michigan Presidential November 6: Hillary 47%, Trump 49% (real result: Hillary 47.0%, Trump 47.3%)

2018 Michigan Senate November 2-5: Stabenow 53%, James 44% (real result: Stabenow 52.2%, James 45.8%)

(Marquette)

2016 Wisconsin Presidential June 6-9: Hillary 46%, Trump 37% (real result: Hillary 46.5%, Trump 47.2%)

2016 Wisconsin Presidential August 4-7: Hillary 52%, Trump 37% (real result: Hillary 46.5%, Trump 47.2%)

2016 Wisconsin Presidential October 26-31: Hillary 46%, Trump 40% (real result: Hillary 46.5%, Trump 47.2%)

2018 Wisconsin Senate October 24-28: Baldwin 54%, Vukmir 43% (real result: Baldwin 55.4%, Vukmir 44.6%)

2018 Wisconsin Senate October 3-7: Baldwin 53%, Vukmir 43% (real result: Baldwin 55.4%, Vukmir 44.6%)

2018 Wisconsin Senate September 12-16: Baldwin 53%, Vukmir 42% (real result: Baldwin 55.4%, Vukmir 44.6%)

(Quinnipiac)

2016 Ohio Presidential July 30 –  August 7: Hillary 44%, Trump 42% (real result: Hillary 43.2%, Trump 51.3%)

2016 Ohio Presidential September 27 –  October 2: Hillary 42%, Trump 47% (real result: Hillary 43.2%, Trump 51.3%)

2016 Ohio Presidential October 10 – October 16: Hillary 45%, Trump 45% (real result: Hillary 43.2%, Trump 51.3%)

2016 Ohio Presidential October 27 – November 1: Hillary 41%, Trump 46% (real result: Hillary 43.2%, Trump 51.3%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential June 30 – July 7: Hillary 41%, Trump 43% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential July 30 – August 7: Hillary 52%, Trump 42% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential September 27 – October 2: Hillary 48%, Trump 43% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential October 10-16: Hillary 51%, Trump 45% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential October 27-November 1: Hillary 50%, Trump 44% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

(Monmouth)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential August 26-August 29: Hillary 48%, Trump 40% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential September 30-October 3: Hillary 50%, Trump 40% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential October 29-November 1: Hillary 48%, Trump 44% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2016 Wisconsin Presidential August 27-30: Hillary 43%, Trump 38% (real result: Hillary 46.5%, Trump 47.2%)

2016 Wisconsin Presidential October 15-18: Hillary 47%, Trump 40% (real result: Hillary 46.5%, Trump 47.2%)

(Emerson)

2016 Ohio Presidential October 10-12: Hillary 45%, Trump 43% (real result: Hillary 43.2%, Trump 51.3%)

2016 Ohio Presidential October 26-27: Hillary 45%, Trump 45% (real result: Hillary 43.2%, Trump 51.3%)

2016 Ohio Presidential November 4-5: Hillary 39%, Trump 46% (real result: Hillary 43.2%, Trump 51.3%)

2018 Wisconsin Senate July 26-28: Baldwin 50%, Vukmir 36% (real result: Baldwin 55.4%, Vukmir 44.6%)

2018 Wisconsin Senate October 29-31: Baldwin 53%, Vukmir 44% (real result: Baldwin 55.4%, Vukmir 44.6%)

2018 Michigan Senate October 24-26: Stabenow 52%, James 43% (real result: Stabenow 52.2%, James 45.8%)

2018 Michigan Senate July 19-21: Stabenow 47%, James 29% (real result: Stabenow 52.2%, James 45.8%)

 

(FOX News)

2016 Ohio Presidential September 18-20: Hillary 37%, Trump 42% (real result: Hillary 43.2%, Trump 51.3%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential April 4-7: Hillary 44%, Trump 44% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

(NBC Marist)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential July 5-10: Hillary 45%, Trump 36% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential August 3-7: Hillary 48%, Trump 37% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2016 Pennsylvania Presidential October 3-6: Hillary 51%, Trump 39% (real result: Hillary 47.5%, Trump 48.2%)

2018 Michigan Senate July 15-19: Stabenow 55%, James 37% (real result: Stabenow 52.2%, James 45.8%)

 

(ABC Washington Post)

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

(2018 MICHIGAN): Stabenow 52.2%, James 45.8%

Mitchell Research, Early November

49% Stabenow, 46% James

Trafalgar Group, Early November

53% Stabenow, 44% James

Gravis, Late October

54% Stabenow, 41% James

 

(2018 INDIANA): 45.1% Donnelly, 51.0% Braun

HarrisX, Late October-Early November

41% Donnelly, 42% Braun

FOX News, Late October

45% Donnelly, 38% Braun

NBC Marist , Late October

48% Donnelly, 46% Braun